🧩 BND Motif Index · M752
They're losing, actually!
The other side's surge is said to be a mirage the media keeps up, while the real numbers, early votes, registrations, turnout, show them losing.
- 12claims filed under it
- 1left show it came up on
- 1center show it came up on
- 7right shows it came up on
⚠️ A story people tell, not a claim that it's true.
A motif is the shape of a story as its tellers tell it, named the way a folklorist names a tale type, so the same story told about other people, by the other side or in another year lands in the same place. Some of the claims below are true, many are false. Arguing against a story is often a story of its own, its answer (Voter fraud is answered by Voter suppression, Lawfare by No one is above the law), and we file it there; where no answer has a motif yet, the arguments against a story sit with its tellings.
🪜 Its family
what it rests on, what rests on it, and the motifs that answer it
🪜 rests on 🧩 The fundamentals
⤵️ under it: 🧩 Polls are inaccurate 🧩 Polls are manipulated 🧩 Shy Tory
🔗 goes with: 🧩 Political party surge
🎙️ Who it came up with
the shows we follow where its claims came up, by the show's lean
🫏 left 1
🎙️ No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen
⚖️ center 1
"Came up on" means one of its claims was heard on the show: told, reported or argued against. We don't yet mark which. Show leans are our own grouping of the shows we transcribe.
🧶 Its claims
what's been told in this shape, newest first, in our words, with where each was heard
- 2026-10-26 “Republicans are being crushed in early voting in several states.”
🎙️ No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen 🎙️ Louder with Crowder 🎙️ Breaking Points - 2026-10-24 “Byron Donalds is going to win the Florida governor's race; the poll showing him tied with David Jolly is trash.”
🎙️ Clay Travis & Buck Sexton - 2026-10-23 “Early voting data contradicts the predictions made by political doomers.”
🎙️ Louder with Crowder - 2026-10-22 “Democrats are trailing in early voting data compared to 2022 and 2024.”
🎙️ The Dan Bongino Show 🎙️ Clay Travis & Buck Sexton 🎙️ The Jesse Kelly Show - 2026-10-21 “Susan Collins will likely win her Senate race in Maine against a far-left candidate.”
🎙️ Clay Travis & Buck Sexton - 2026-10-15 “Paxton is gaining momentum in Texas due to incoming money and the absence of Tallarico.”
🎙️ Clay Travis & Buck Sexton - 2026-10-13 “Susan Collins' history of polling poorly while winning big makes her position in Maine look better for Republicans.”
🎙️ Fox News Rundown - 2026-10-12 “Polls may miss Republicans who won't talk to pollsters or rarely vote.”
🎙️ Breaking Points - 2026-10-09 “Democrats are using media narratives to hide the fact that their mail-in voting numbers are failing.”
🎙️ The Benny Show - 2026-10-08 “Republicans have a significant advantage in party registration in key states compared to the last 20 years.”
🎙️ Clay Travis & Buck Sexton 🎙️ The Michael Berry Show - 2026-10-05 “The media is using excuses to explain away the lack of a Democratic blue tsunami in the early voting data.”
🎙️ The Dan Bongino Show - 2026-10-05 “The actual numbers and early voting data do not look good for the Democrats.”
🎙️ The Dan Bongino Show
M752 · first seen 2026-10-10 · last 2026-10-26 · what this is · how the index works