🧩 BND Motif Index · M438
Losing the base
The group is starting to lose support of its most loyal supporters.
- 25claims filed under it
- 4left shows it came up on
- 3center shows it came up on
- 8right shows it came up on
- 8claims retold online
⚠️ A story people tell, not a claim that it's true.
A motif is the shape of a story as its tellers tell it, named the way a folklorist names a tale type, so the same story told about other people, by the other side or in another year lands in the same place. Some of the claims below are true, many are false. Arguing against a story is often a story of its own, its answer (Voter fraud is answered by Voter suppression, Lawfare by No one is above the law), and we file it there; where no answer has a motif yet, the arguments against a story sit with its tellings.
🪜 Its family
what it rests on, what rests on it, and the motifs that answer it
🪜 rests on 🧩 The regime is cracking 🧩 Political realignment
⤵️ under it: 🧩 Blue Texas 🧩 Brahmin left
🔗 goes with: 🧩 Breaking ranks 🧩 Dead weight president 🧩 Enthusiasm gap 🧩 Political party surge 🧩 Unpopular war
🎙️ Who it came up with
the shows we follow where its claims came up, by the show's lean
"Came up on" means one of its claims was heard on the show: told, reported or argued against. We don't yet mark which. Show leans are our own grouping of the shows we transcribe.
📰 In the news
the stories its claims were told about, the most told first (matched by our tools, so a link can be wrong)
- 📰 Trump approval rating remains at record low in latest poll 2026-10-07
- 📰 Trump interrupted by protesters at Texas rally 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-09
🧶 Its claims
what's been told in this shape, newest first, in our words, with where each was heard
- 2026-10-27 “David Eby and the NDP lost the election because they failed to mobilize voters and surrendered to the Conservatives.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-26 “Democratic consultants are trying to win by appealing to the center-right and shrinking the tent, which will only alienate and lose the party's base.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-25 “Democrats are failing to defend their base and are alienating voters through poor messaging and neglect.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-25 “The Labour Party is moving toward urban, university-educated people and losing its connection to its traditional communities.”
🎙️ Today in Focus (Guardian) - 2026-10-24 “Democrats in Michigan created problems by nominating controversial candidates with less mass appeal.”
🎙️ The Megyn Kelly Show - 2026-10-24 “Democrats are leaving the party because it no longer represents their values.”
🎙️ PBD Podcast (podcast) 🎙️ Clay Travis & Buck Sexton 🎙️ Verdict with Ted Cruz - 2026-10-22 “Some Jewish Democrats in Michigan feel deeply uncomfortable supporting the Democratic nominee.”
🎙️ The Megyn Kelly Show 🎙️ Bannon's War Room - 2026-10-20 “Voters punish their own side by choosing bad candidates to avoid imperfect ones.”
🎙️ The Michael Berry Show - 2026-10-20 “Republican actions are currently off the rails.”
🎙️ Fox News Rundown - 2026-10-16 “Democrats are responsible for losing voters because they support genocide and fail to uphold civil rights.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-15 “There are growing cracks in the Republican base and disillusionment among Trump voters.”
🎙️ To the Contrary with Charlie Sykes 🎙️ David Pakman Show (podcast) - 2026-10-14 “MAGA voters are becoming disillusioned with Trump because of his crimes and corruption.”
🎙️ Breaking Points - 2026-10-12 “Trump's tariffs are causing a backlash among factory workers and may lead to a Republican midterm disaster.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-12 “Trump's MAGA base has dwindled to a much diminished, cult-like following.”
🎙️ Breaking Points - 2026-10-11 “Nationalist conservatives are dissatisfied with the Trump Republican Party regarding immigration and support for Israel.”
🎙️ Know Your Enemy - 2026-10-10 “Democratic candidates such as Annie Andrews and Mary Peltola are throwing trans people under the bus for votes by taking anti-trans positions, political malpractice that loses them a loyal part of their base and never wins.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-09 “Republican voters are showing less enthusiasm for the upcoming midterms compared to previous voters.”
🎙️ Reuters World News - 2026-10-09 “Donald Trump's approval ratings are currently low and he is losing support among independents and Latino voters.”
🎙️ David Pakman Show (podcast) 🎙️ NPR Politics Podcast - 2026-10-08 “The posts collectively claim that Donald Trump and the Republican Party are losing control in Texas due to the nomination of Ken Paxton, a controversial and unpopular candidate, and that this reflects a broader decline in the GOP's appeal and viability in the state.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-07 “Zack Polanski's leadership of the Green Party has led to its corruption and alienation of core supporters, particularly Jewish members, and his political career is effectively over.” 🧶 people online
- 2026-10-05 “Many voters who previously supported Trump are feeling frustrated by economic issues like gas and diesel prices.”
🎙️ Morning Wire - 2026-10-03 “The voter has never voted for a Democrat before but is considering it this election.” 🗳️ voters in The Focus Group
- 2026-09-12 “Rural Republicans are upset about the voucher program” 🗳️ voters in The Focus Group
- 2026-08-15 “The Iran war is a major split in the administration with the base” 🗳️ voters in The Focus Group
- 2026-08-15 “Voters associate Middle East wars directly with Israel's actions” 🗳️ voters in The Focus Group
M438 · first seen 2026-10-05 · last 2026-10-27 · what this is · how the index works